Winnipeg Jets at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2022-01-02 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 5 Winnipeg Jets (OT)

Win Probability

VGK: 46.6%

WPG: 53.4%

Expected Goals

VGK: 2.75

WPG: 3.53

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 49%

VGK

L. Brossoit

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VGK	L. Brossoit	37	32	5	86.5%	5.37	3	0.37
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	46	42	4	91.3%	3.95	2	-0.05

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • VGK at home vs WPG: 7-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	VGK 6 - 2 WPG	VGK	VGK
2026-03-24	WPG 4 - 1 VGK	WPG	VGK
2026-01-06	WPG 3 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-04-03	VGK 0 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG
2024-12-12	WPG 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	29	2	1.71
1	WPG	10	0	0.91
2	VGK	20	0	1.21
2	WPG	16	2	1.88
3	VGK	13	0	0.87
3	WPG	19	1	2.15
4	VGK	2	0	0.16
4	WPG	5	0	0.42

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 5 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 2.7 - 3.5