Minnesota Wild at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2022-02-22 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 4 - 3 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)

Win Probability

OTT: 44.5%

MIN: 55.5%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.14

MIN: 3.44

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

OTT

Anton Forsberg - 11-12-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA

MIN

C. Talbot

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
OTT	Anton Forsberg	43	40	3	93.0%	3.46	1	0.46
MIN	C. Talbot	34	30	4	88.2%	3.27	1	-0.73

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • OTT at home vs MIN: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	OTT 1 - 4 MIN	MIN	OTT
2025-12-13	MIN 3 - 2 OTT	MIN	MIN
2025-02-01	OTT 6 - 0 MIN	OTT	OTT
2024-12-29	MIN 1 - 3 OTT	OTT	MIN
2024-04-02	MIN 3 - 2 OTT	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	17	1	1.45
1	MIN	16	1	1.28
2	OTT	16	0	0.84
2	MIN	22	0	1.47
3	OTT	18	0	0.97
3	MIN	16	0	0.71

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 4 - 3 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.1 - 3.4