Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2022-01-04 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 7 Tampa Bay Lightning

Win Probability

CBJ: 47.0%

TBL: 53.0%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.20

TBL: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 47%

CBJ

J. Korpisalo

TBL

Andrei Vasilevskiy - 15-7-2 | 0.913 SV% | 2.33 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	J. Korpisalo	36	29	7	80.6%	3.23	0	-3.77
TBL	Andrei Vasilevskiy	22	20	2	90.9%	2.16	0	0.16

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • CBJ at home vs TBL: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-10	TBL 2 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	TBL
2026-01-24	CBJ 8 - 5 TBL	CBJ	CBJ
2025-10-18	CBJ 3 - 2 TBL	CBJ	CBJ
2025-03-04	TBL 6 - 2 CBJ	TBL	TBL
2024-12-17	TBL 5 - 3 CBJ	TBL	TBL

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	CBJ	13	0.55
1	TBL	18	1.16
2	CBJ	9	0.58
2	TBL	19	1.14
3	CBJ	15	1.03
3	TBL	11	0.94

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 7 Tampa Bay Lightning

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1