Nashville Predators at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2022-01-04 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 3 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

VGK: 50.0%

NSH: 50.0%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.14

NSH: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

VGK

L. Thompson

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VGK	L. Thompson	26	23	3	88.5%	2.75	1	-0.25
NSH	Juuse Saros	43	41	2	95.3%	3.46	2	1.46

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • VGK at home vs NSH: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	NSH 4 - 1 VGK	NSH	VGK
2026-01-17	VGK 7 - 2 NSH	VGK	VGK
2025-12-31	VGK 2 - 4 NSH	NSH	VGK
2025-04-12	VGK 5 - 3 NSH	VGK	VGK
2025-03-29	NSH 1 - 3 VGK	VGK	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	9	0	0.23
1	NSH	15	0	0.88
2	VGK	20	1	1.45
2	NSH	14	0	0.91
3	VGK	27	1	1.78
3	NSH	7	1	0.95

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 3 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1