Chicago Blackhawks at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2022-01-06 • Gila River Arena

Arizona Coyotes 6 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

ARI: 46.1%

CHI: 53.9%

Expected Goals

ARI: 2.94

CHI: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 37%

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

CHI

M. Fleury

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	K. Vejmelka	36	32	4	88.9%	2.97	1	-1.03
CHI	M. Fleury	26	20	6	76.9%	2.56	1	-3.44

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • ARI at home vs CHI: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-10	CHI 7 - 4 ARI	CHI	ARI
2024-03-05	ARI 2 - 5 CHI	CHI	ARI
2023-10-30	ARI 8 - 1 CHI	ARI	ARI
2023-03-18	ARI 4 - 2 CHI	ARI	ARI
2023-02-28	ARI 4 - 1 CHI	ARI	ARI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	14	0	0.80
1	CHI	18	0	1.03
2	ARI	12	0	1.00
2	CHI	17	1	1.24
3	ARI	12	1	0.77
3	CHI	15	0	0.70

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 6 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 2.9 - 3.0