Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2022-01-08 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 4 Florida Panthers (OT)

Win Probability

CAR: 39.4%

FLA: 60.6%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.11

FLA: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

CAR

A. Lyon

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	A. Lyon	36	32	4	88.9%	4.58	4	0.58
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	27	24	3	88.9%	2.81	1	-0.19

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 48% • CAR at home vs FLA: 4-10

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-09-29	CAR 0 - 1 FLA	FLA	CAR
2026-01-16	CAR 9 - 1 FLA	CAR	CAR
2025-12-23	CAR 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	CAR
2025-12-19	FLA 4 - 3 CAR	FLA	CAR
2025-05-28	CAR 3 - 5 FLA	FLA	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	13	1	1.29
1	FLA	19	0	1.22
2	CAR	14	0	0.77
2	FLA	21	2	1.78
3	CAR	12	0	0.59
3	FLA	13	1	1.28
4	CAR	1	0	0.15
4	FLA	1	1	0.29

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 4 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2