Washington Capitals at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2022-01-08 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Washington Capitals (SO)

Win Probability

MIN: 61.5%

WSH: 38.5%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.21

WSH: 2.87

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 49%

MIN

K. Kahkonen

WSH

Z. Fucale

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	K. Kahkonen	32	30	2	93.8%	2.91	0	0.91
WSH	Z. Fucale	25	21	4	84.0%	4.51	3	0.51

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • MIN at home vs WSH: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-16	MIN 5 - 0 WSH	MIN	WSH
2025-10-17	WSH 5 - 1 MIN	WSH	WSH
2025-03-27	MIN 4 - 2 WSH	MIN	MIN
2025-01-02	WSH 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	WSH
2024-01-23	MIN 5 - 3 WSH	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	13	0	0.80
1	WSH	12	0	0.63
2	MIN	8	1	1.18
2	WSH	16	0	1.36
3	MIN	10	0	0.60
3	WSH	12	0	0.47
4	MIN	3	0	0.18
4	WSH	3	0	0.31
5	MIN	3	2	1.74
5	WSH	2	0	0.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9