Ottawa Senators at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2022-04-19 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 4 Ottawa Senators (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 56.8%

OTT: 43.2%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.48

OTT: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 52%

VAN

J. Halak

OTT

F. Gustavsson

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	J. Halak	35	30	5	85.7%	5.74	4	0.74
OTT	F. Gustavsson	41	37	4	90.2%	6.90	4	2.90

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • VAN at home vs OTT: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-09	VAN 0 - 2 OTT	OTT	OTT
2026-01-13	OTT 2 - 1 VAN	OTT	OTT
2024-12-21	VAN 4 - 5 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-11-23	OTT 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	OTT
2024-01-02	VAN 6 - 3 OTT	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	12	2	1.48
1	OTT	15	1	1.41
2	VAN	26	1	2.23
2	OTT	9	0	0.70
3	VAN	16	0	1.53
3	OTT	13	1	1.50
4	VAN	4	0	0.45
4	OTT	0	0	0.00
5	VAN	5	1	1.21
5	OTT	5	2	2.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 4 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.5 - 3.0