New York Rangers at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2022-01-08 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 1 - 4 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (71% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 71.1%

NYR: 28.9%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.48

NYR: 2.75

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

ANA

A. Stolarz

NYR

A. Georgiev

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	A. Stolarz	40	36	4	90.0%	4.02	1	0.02
NYR	A. Georgiev	14	13	1	92.9%	2.10	0	1.10

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • ANA at home vs NYR: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-19	ANA 5 - 3 NYR	ANA	ANA
2025-12-15	NYR 1 - 4 ANA	ANA	NYR
2025-03-28	ANA 5 - 4 NYR	ANA	NYR
2024-10-26	NYR 2 - 1 ANA	NYR	NYR
2024-01-21	ANA 2 - 5 NYR	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	11	0	0.58
1	NYR	14	0	1.24
2	ANA	17	0	1.09
2	NYR	11	0	0.38
3	ANA	11	0	0.42
3	NYR	23	1	2.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 71.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 1 - 4 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.5 - 2.7