Minnesota Wild at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2022-02-16 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 6 - 3 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

WPG: 57.9%

MIN: 42.1%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.07

MIN: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 42%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

MIN

C. Talbot

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	36	33	3	91.7%	3.24	3	0.24
MIN	C. Talbot	31	25	6	80.6%	3.63	2	-2.37

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 63% • WPG at home vs MIN: 6-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-15	MIN 2 - 6 WPG	WPG	MIN
2025-12-27	WPG 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	WPG
2025-11-23	WPG 0 - 3 MIN	MIN	WPG
2025-10-28	MIN 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	MIN
2024-12-21	WPG 5 - 0 MIN	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	15	0	0.72
1	MIN	25	2	1.53
2	WPG	18	1	1.62
2	MIN	16	0	0.50
3	WPG	8	1	1.30
3	MIN	17	1	1.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 6 - 3 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0