Chicago Blackhawks at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2022-01-11 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 50.9%

CHI: 49.1%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.27

CHI: 3.77

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 41%

CBJ

J. Korpisalo

CHI

M. Fleury

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	J. Korpisalo	20	16	4	80.0%	2.62	1	-1.38
CHI	M. Fleury	26	24	2	92.3%	2.25	1	0.25

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • CBJ at home vs CHI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-04	CBJ 4 - 0 CHI	CBJ	CBJ
2026-01-30	CHI 2 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-02-22	CBJ 5 - 1 CHI	CBJ	CBJ
2024-12-01	CHI 3 - 6 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2024-03-02	CHI 2 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	9	0	0.44
1	CHI	11	0	0.95
2	CBJ	12	0	0.86
2	CHI	3	0	0.21
3	CBJ	11	1	0.95
3	CHI	9	1	1.46

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.3 - 3.8