New York Islanders at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2022-02-12 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 5 - 2 New York Islanders

Win Probability

CGY: 69.5%

NYI: 30.5%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.83

NYI: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 7.0

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 54%

CGY

J. Markstrom

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CGY	J. Markstrom	21	19	2	90.5%	2.27	0	0.27
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	29	24	5	82.8%	2.77	0	-2.23

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CGY at home vs NYI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	NYI 3 - 2 CGY	NYI	CGY
2026-01-17	CGY 4 - 2 NYI	CGY	CGY
2025-03-22	NYI 3 - 4 CGY	CGY	CGY
2024-11-19	CGY 2 - 1 NYI	CGY	CGY
2024-02-10	NYI 2 - 5 CGY	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	CGY	11	0.45
1	NYI	19	1.33
2	CGY	15	0.85
2	NYI	10	0.49
3	CGY	19	1.48
3	NYI	11	0.45

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 5 - 2 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.8 - 2.9