New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2022-01-13 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 3 - 2 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 48.3%

NJD: 51.7%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.16

NJD: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

NJD

J. Gillies

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	32	30	2	93.8%	3.65	3	1.65
NJD	J. Gillies	25	22	3	88.0%	3.10	0	0.10

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • NYI at home vs NJD: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	NJD 1 - 3 NYI	NYI	NJD
2026-01-06	NYI 9 - 0 NJD	NYI	NYI
2025-12-23	NYI 2 - 1 NJD	NYI	NYI
2025-11-10	NJD 2 - 3 NYI	NYI	NJD
2025-04-13	NJD 0 - 1 NYI	NYI	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	15	0	1.29
1	NJD	16	1	1.63
2	NYI	10	0	0.81
2	NJD	9	1	0.89
3	NYI	10	0	1.00
3	NJD	14	1	1.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 3 - 2 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1