Columbus Blue Jackets at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2022-01-13 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 0 - 6 Columbus Blue Jackets

🚨 Upset Loss (67% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 67.1%

CBJ: 32.9%

Expected Goals

CAR: 4.39

CBJ: 2.84

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 46%

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Frederik Andersen	35	29	6	82.9%	2.62	0	-3.38
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	31	31	0	100.0%	3.27	3	3.27

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • CAR at home vs CBJ: 8-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	CAR 5 - 1 CBJ	CAR	CAR
2026-03-31	CBJ 2 - 5 CAR	CAR	CBJ
2026-03-17	CBJ 5 - 1 CAR	CBJ	CAR
2025-12-09	CAR 4 - 1 CBJ	CAR	CAR
2025-01-23	CAR 7 - 4 CBJ	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	13	0	0.63
1	CBJ	23	0	1.10
2	CAR	14	2	1.09
2	CBJ	13	0	0.66
3	CAR	21	1	1.54
3	CBJ	11	0	0.86

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 67.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 7.2

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 0 - 6 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 4.4 - 2.8