Montreal Canadiens at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2022-01-13 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 2 Montreal Canadiens (OT)

Win Probability

CHI: 60.9%

MTL: 39.1%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.17

MTL: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

CHI

M. Fleury

MTL

Samuel Montembeault - 6-6-1 | 0.863 SV% | 3.52 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	M. Fleury	29	27	2	93.1%	1.93	0	-0.07
MTL	Samuel Montembeault	31	28	3	90.3%	2.49	0	-0.51

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CHI at home vs MTL: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-18	MTL 4 - 1 CHI	MTL	MTL
2025-10-11	CHI 2 - 3 MTL	MTL	MTL
2025-04-14	MTL 3 - 4 CHI	CHI	MTL
2025-01-03	CHI 4 - 2 MTL	CHI	MTL
2023-12-22	CHI 2 - 5 MTL	MTL	CHI

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	CHI	16	1.20
1	MTL	3	0.19
2	CHI	6	0.32
2	MTL	24	1.43
3	CHI	13	0.79
3	MTL	9	0.19
4	CHI	1	0.18
4	MTL	2	0.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 2 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9