Dallas Stars at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2022-01-14 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 7 - 1 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

FLA: 67.5%

DAL: 32.5%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.82

DAL: 2.85

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 47%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 16-7-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.57 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	30	29	1	96.7%	2.48	0	1.48
DAL	Jake Oettinger	39	32	7	82.1%	3.35	2	-3.65

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • FLA at home vs DAL: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-13	DAL 0 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-11-01	FLA 4 - 3 DAL	FLA	FLA
2024-11-02	FLA 4 - 2 DAL	FLA	FLA
2024-11-01	DAL 4 - 6 FLA	FLA	FLA
2024-03-12	DAL 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	15	2	1.29
1	DAL	11	0	0.84
2	FLA	13	0	1.27
2	DAL	12	0	0.86
3	FLA	15	0	0.79
3	DAL	14	0	0.77

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 7 - 1 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.8 - 2.9