Arizona Coyotes at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2022-01-14 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 3 Arizona Coyotes (SO)

Win Probability

COL: 67.1%

ARI: 32.9%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.98

ARI: 2.85

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 44%

COL

P. Francouz

ARI

I. Prosvetov

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	P. Francouz	28	25	3	89.3%	1.96	0	-1.04
ARI	I. Prosvetov	50	46	4	92.0%	3.98	1	-0.02

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • COL at home vs ARI: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-02-18	COL 4 - 3 ARI	COL	COL
2023-12-27	ARI 5 - 4 COL	ARI	COL
2023-12-23	COL 4 - 1 ARI	COL	COL
2023-11-30	ARI 4 - 3 COL	ARI	COL
2023-03-26	ARI 3 - 4 COL	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	22	0	1.09
1	ARI	9	0	0.47
2	COL	20	0	1.01
2	ARI	14	0	0.78
3	COL	16	0	0.53
3	ARI	3	0	0.11
4	COL	5	0	0.39
4	ARI	3	0	0.40
5	COL	3	1	0.94
5	ARI	3	0	0.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 3 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 4.0 - 2.9