Vegas Golden Knights at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2022-02-08 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 0 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

EDM: 42.8%

VGK: 57.2%

Expected Goals

EDM: 2.73

VGK: 3.31

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 54%

EDM

M. Smith

VGK

L. Brossoit

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	M. Smith	28	24	4	85.7%	3.27	1	-0.73
VGK	L. Brossoit	28	28	0	100.0%	3.02	2	3.02

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • EDM at home vs VGK: 8-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	EDM 1 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-03-26	VGK 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	VGK
2026-03-08	VGK 2 - 4 EDM	EDM	VGK
2025-12-21	EDM 4 - 3 VGK	EDM	EDM
2025-05-14	VGK 0 - 1 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	17	2	1.79
1	VGK	10	0	0.80
2	EDM	12	0	0.62
2	VGK	15	1	1.54
3	EDM	9	0	0.61
3	VGK	13	0	0.93

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 0 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 2.7 - 3.3