New Jersey Devils at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2022-02-08 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 1 - 7 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)

Win Probability

MTL: 61.8%

NJD: 38.2%

Expected Goals

MTL: 3.29

NJD: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

MTL

Cayden Primeau - 8-9-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.99 GAA

NJD

J. Gillies

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MTL	Cayden Primeau	34	27	7	79.4%	3.20	1	-3.80
NJD	J. Gillies	31	30	1	96.8%	2.03	1	1.03

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • MTL at home vs NJD: 0-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	MTL 0 - 3 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-04-04	NJD 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	NJD
2025-11-06	NJD 4 - 3 MTL	NJD	NJD
2025-02-08	MTL 0 - 4 NJD	NJD	NJD
2025-01-25	MTL 3 - 4 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	9	0	0.22
1	NJD	18	1	1.54
2	MTL	18	1	1.39
2	NJD	15	0	0.93
3	MTL	11	0	0.42
3	NJD	12	0	0.73

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 1 - 7 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9