Buffalo Sabres at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2022-01-15 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 0 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

DET: 50.4%

BUF: 49.6%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.03

BUF: 3.30

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 50%

DET

A. Nedeljkovic

BUF

A. Dell

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	A. Nedeljkovic	22	22	0	100.0%	1.96	0	1.96
BUF	A. Dell	39	35	4	89.7%	4.09	3	0.09

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 63% • DET at home vs BUF: 6-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-27	BUF 2 - 5 DET	DET	BUF
2025-11-15	DET 4 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-10-22	BUF 4 - 2 DET	BUF	BUF
2025-03-12	DET 7 - 3 BUF	DET	DET
2024-12-09	BUF 5 - 6 DET	DET	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	26	2	2.28
1	BUF	8	0	0.33
2	DET	9	0	0.61
2	BUF	12	0	0.80
3	DET	13	1	1.20
3	BUF	12	0	0.82

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 0 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3