Anaheim Ducks at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions
2022-01-15 • United Center
Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 0 Anaheim Ducks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CHI: 59.1%
ANA: 40.9%
Expected Goals
CHI: 3.04
ANA: 2.79
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CHI
M. Fleury
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA
| Stat | CHI | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | 3.15 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | M. Fleury | 37 | 37 | 0 | 100.0% | 4.35 | 2 | 4.35 |
| ANA | Lukas Dostal | 36 | 33 | 3 | 91.7% | 4.45 | 2 | 1.45 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • CHI at home vs ANA: 6-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | ANA 7 - 1 CHI | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-11-30 | CHI 5 - 3 ANA | CHI | ANA |
| 2025-10-19 | CHI 2 - 1 ANA | CHI | CHI |
| 2025-03-01 | ANA 3 - 6 CHI | CHI | ANA |
| 2024-11-19 | CHI 2 - 3 ANA | ANA | CHI |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHI | 19 | 1 | 1.70 |
| 1 | ANA | 14 | 1 | 1.22 |
| 2 | CHI | 14 | 0 | 1.04 |
| 2 | ANA | 22 | 1 | 1.74 |
| 3 | CHI | 9 | 1 | 1.71 |
| 3 | ANA | 15 | 0 | 1.39 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 59.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 0 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.0 - 2.8
Get NHL forecasts in your inbox
Occasional emails with NHL forecasts, analysis, and model updates.