Pittsburgh Penguins at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2022-01-15 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 1 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 50.7%

PIT: 49.3%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.31

PIT: 3.76

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 48%

SJS

A. Hill

PIT

L. Domingue

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	A. Hill	27	25	2	92.6%	2.30	0	0.30
PIT	L. Domingue	41	40	1	97.6%	4.08	2	3.08

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • SJS at home vs PIT: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-13	PIT 5 - 6 SJS	SJS	PIT
2025-10-18	SJS 0 - 3 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-01-27	SJS 2 - 1 PIT	SJS	PIT
2024-11-16	PIT 4 - 3 SJS	PIT	PIT
2024-03-14	PIT 6 - 3 SJS	PIT	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	13	1	1.03
1	PIT	9	0	0.45
2	SJS	21	0	1.66
2	PIT	13	0	0.73
3	SJS	16	1	1.31
3	PIT	15	0	0.97
4	SJS	1	0	0.08
4	PIT	1	0	0.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 7.1

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 1 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.3 - 3.8