Los Angeles Kings at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2022-01-17 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 6 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 48.7%

LAK: 51.3%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.90

LAK: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 54%

SJS

J. Reimer

LAK

J. Quick

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	J. Reimer	41	39	2	95.1%	3.02	1	1.02
LAK	J. Quick	17	11	6	64.7%	1.74	0	-4.26

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 61% • SJS at home vs LAK: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-07	LAK 3 - 4 SJS	SJS	LAK
2025-11-20	SJS 4 - 3 LAK	SJS	SJS
2025-10-28	SJS 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-03-30	LAK 8 - 1 SJS	LAK	LAK
2024-11-25	SJS 7 - 2 LAK	SJS	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	10	0	0.64
1	LAK	18	1	0.66
2	SJS	7	0	0.44
2	LAK	22	0	1.58
3	SJS	13	0	0.66
3	LAK	15	0	0.78

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 6 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 2.9 - 3.1