Chicago Blackhawks at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2022-01-17 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 3 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks (SO)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 57.0%
CHI: 43.0%
Expected Goals
SEA: 3.19
CHI: 2.99
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA
CHI
M. Fleury
| Stat | SEA | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.920 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.32 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | Philipp Grubauer | 28 | 26 | 2 | 92.9% | 2.08 | 0 | 0.08 |
| CHI | M. Fleury | 39 | 35 | 4 | 89.7% | 5.88 | 2 | 1.88 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SEA at home vs CHI: 6-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | SEA 2 - 4 CHI | CHI | SEA |
| 2025-11-20 | CHI 2 - 3 SEA | SEA | SEA |
| 2025-11-03 | SEA 3 - 1 CHI | SEA | SEA |
| 2025-03-18 | CHI 2 - 6 SEA | SEA | SEA |
| 2024-12-19 | CHI 3 - 1 SEA | CHI | SEA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEA | 15 | 0 | 1.03 |
| 1 | CHI | 6 | 0 | 0.39 |
| 2 | SEA | 13 | 0 | 0.53 |
| 2 | CHI | 18 | 0 | 0.95 |
| 3 | SEA | 19 | 0 | 1.76 |
| 3 | CHI | 9 | 0 | 0.51 |
| 4 | SEA | 8 | 0 | 0.69 |
| 4 | CHI | 2 | 0 | 0.09 |
| 5 | SEA | 3 | 2 | 1.87 |
| 5 | CHI | 2 | 0 | 0.14 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 57.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 3 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.2 - 3.0
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