Carolina Hurricanes at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2022-01-18 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 1 - 7 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 56.8%

CAR: 43.2%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.14

CAR: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 48%

BOS

T. Rask

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	T. Rask	34	27	7	79.4%	3.01	1	-3.99
CAR	Frederik Andersen	32	31	1	96.9%	2.54	1	1.54

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • BOS at home vs CAR: 6-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	CAR 6 - 5 BOS	CAR	CAR
2025-11-17	BOS 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-01	BOS 2 - 1 CAR	BOS	CAR
2025-04-05	BOS 5 - 1 CAR	BOS	BOS
2025-03-06	CAR 3 - 2 BOS	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	13	0	0.42
1	CAR	15	0	1.22
2	BOS	16	1	1.33
2	CAR	11	1	0.73
3	BOS	14	0	0.79
3	CAR	18	0	1.07

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 1 - 7 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0