Florida Panthers at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2022-01-18 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 5 - 1 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

CGY: 53.2%

FLA: 46.8%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.11

FLA: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 74%

Over 6.5: 58%

CGY

J. Markstrom

FLA

Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CGY	J. Markstrom	29	28	1	96.6%	3.33	1	2.33
FLA	Spencer Knight	31	26	5	83.9%	2.64	0	-2.36

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CGY at home vs FLA: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-20	CGY 4 - 1 FLA	CGY	CGY
2025-11-28	FLA 3 - 5 CGY	CGY	FLA
2025-03-01	FLA 3 - 0 CGY	FLA	FLA
2024-12-14	CGY 3 - 0 FLA	CGY	FLA
2024-03-09	FLA 5 - 1 CGY	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	14	0	0.58
1	FLA	16	0	1.24
2	CGY	15	0	1.18
2	FLA	16	1	1.20
3	CGY	9	0	0.88
3	FLA	15	0	0.88

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 5 - 1 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1