Chicago Blackhawks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2022-02-09 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 1 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

EDM: 44.3%

CHI: 55.7%

Expected Goals

EDM: 2.65

CHI: 4.65

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 44%

EDM

M. Smith

CHI

M. Fleury

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	M. Smith	30	26	4	86.7%	3.18	2	-0.82
CHI	M. Fleury	41	40	1	97.6%	4.82	4	3.82

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • EDM at home vs CHI: 6-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	EDM 3 - 1 CHI	EDM	EDM
2026-01-12	CHI 1 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-11-01	EDM 3 - 2 CHI	EDM	EDM
2025-02-05	CHI 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-01-11	CHI 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	18	1	1.17
1	CHI	17	2	1.63
2	EDM	24	3	2.83
2	CHI	6	0	0.58
3	EDM	13	0	0.82
3	CHI	13	0	0.97

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 7.3

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 1 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 2.6 - 4.6