Tampa Bay Lightning at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2022-01-18 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 6 Tampa Bay Lightning

Win Probability

LAK: 47.7%

TBL: 52.3%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.16

TBL: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

LAK

C. Petersen

TBL

Andrei Vasilevskiy - 15-7-2 | 0.913 SV% | 2.33 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	C. Petersen	25	19	6	76.0%	2.89	2	-3.11
TBL	Andrei Vasilevskiy	36	32	4	88.9%	2.98	0	-1.02

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • LAK at home vs TBL: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-01	LAK 3 - 5 TBL	TBL	LAK
2025-12-18	TBL 1 - 2 LAK	LAK	TBL
2025-01-30	TBL 3 - 0 LAK	TBL	TBL
2025-01-04	LAK 2 - 1 TBL	LAK	LAK
2024-03-23	LAK 4 - 3 TBL	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	8	0	0.47
1	TBL	6	0	0.64
2	LAK	23	0	1.61
2	TBL	12	1	0.87
3	LAK	20	0	0.90
3	TBL	13	1	1.38

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 6 Tampa Bay Lightning

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1