Arizona Coyotes at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2022-01-19 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 1 - 4 Arizona Coyotes

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 60.8%

ARI: 39.2%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.94

ARI: 2.70

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

NJD

M. Blackwood

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	M. Blackwood	17	13	4	76.5%	4.23	6	0.23
ARI	K. Vejmelka	36	35	1	97.2%	3.14	1	2.14

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NJD at home vs ARI: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-16	ARI 4 - 1 NJD	ARI	ARI
2023-10-13	NJD 3 - 4 ARI	ARI	ARI
2023-03-05	ARI 4 - 5 NJD	NJD	ARI
2022-11-12	NJD 4 - 2 ARI	NJD	NJD
2022-04-12	ARI 2 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	17	1	1.29
1	ARI	7	0	0.30
2	NJD	19	0	0.97
2	ARI	11	1	0.99
3	NJD	14	0	0.89
3	ARI	16	5	2.95

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 1 - 4 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.9 - 2.7