Columbus Blue Jackets at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2022-01-20 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

Win Probability

PHI: 48.9%

CBJ: 51.1%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.07

CBJ: 3.40

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 51%

PHI

C. Hart

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PHI	C. Hart	29	27	2	93.1%	2.49	0	0.49
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	34	33	1	97.1%	3.64	1	2.64

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PHI at home vs CBJ: 4-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	PHI 2 - 3 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2026-03-14	PHI 1 - 2 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2026-01-28	CBJ 5 - 3 PHI	CBJ	PHI
2025-04-15	PHI 0 - 3 CBJ	CBJ	PHI
2025-01-14	CBJ 3 - 2 PHI	CBJ	CBJ

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	11	0	0.92
1	CBJ	14	0	1.09
2	PHI	17	1	1.85
2	CBJ	16	0	1.23
3	PHI	17	0	0.86
3	CBJ	6	0	0.17

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.1 - 3.4