Florida Panthers at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2022-01-20 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 0 - 6 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

EDM: 45.6%

FLA: 54.4%

Expected Goals

EDM: 2.70

FLA: 3.59

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 54%

EDM

M. Koskinen

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	M. Koskinen	28	22	6	78.6%	2.99	1	-3.01
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	40	40	0	100.0%	3.63	2	3.63

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 52% • EDM at home vs FLA: 4-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	EDM 0 - 4 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-11-22	FLA 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	FLA
2025-06-17	FLA 5 - 1 EDM	FLA	FLA
2025-06-14	EDM 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-06-12	FLA 4 - 5 EDM	EDM	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	26	1	1.67
1	FLA	11	0	0.59
2	EDM	17	0	0.96
2	FLA	10	0	0.73
3	EDM	17	1	1.00
3	FLA	19	1	1.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 0 - 6 Florida Panthers

Expected: 2.7 - 3.6