Colorado Avalanche at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2022-01-20 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 1 - 4 Colorado Avalanche
🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 60.9%
COL: 39.1%
Expected Goals
LAK: 3.15
COL: 3.08
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
LAK
J. Quick
COL
D. Kuemper
| Stat | LAK | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | J. Quick | 27 | 23 | 4 | 85.2% | 2.64 | 2 | -1.36 |
| COL | D. Kuemper | 41 | 40 | 1 | 97.6% | 3.99 | 1 | 2.99 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • LAK at home vs COL: 2-8
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | LAK 1 - 5 COL | COL | LAK |
| 2026-04-23 | LAK 2 - 4 COL | COL | COL |
| 2026-04-21 | COL 2 - 1 LAK | COL | COL |
| 2026-04-19 | COL 2 - 1 LAK | COL | COL |
| 2026-03-02 | LAK 2 - 4 COL | COL | COL |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAK | 19 | 0 | 1.17 |
| 1 | COL | 9 | 0 | 0.65 |
| 2 | LAK | 24 | 1 | 2.11 |
| 2 | COL | 9 | 0 | 0.58 |
| 3 | LAK | 12 | 0 | 0.71 |
| 3 | COL | 12 | 2 | 1.41 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 1 - 4 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 3.1 - 3.1
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