Arizona Coyotes at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2022-01-21 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 4 - 0 Arizona Coyotes

Win Probability

NYI: 52.8%

ARI: 47.2%

Expected Goals

NYI: 2.77

ARI: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 51%

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

ARI

S. Wedgewood

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	17	17	0	100.0%	1.38	0	1.38
ARI	S. Wedgewood	35	31	4	88.6%	3.41	2	-0.59

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • NYI at home vs ARI: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-01-04	ARI 1 - 5 NYI	NYI	ARI
2023-10-17	NYI 1 - 0 ARI	NYI	NYI
2022-12-16	ARI 5 - 4 NYI	ARI	NYI
2022-11-10	NYI 0 - 2 ARI	ARI	NYI
2022-01-21	NYI 4 - 0 ARI	NYI	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	10	0	0.78
1	ARI	7	0	0.33
2	NYI	9	0	0.57
2	ARI	11	0	0.62
3	NYI	24	2	2.07
3	ARI	5	0	0.42

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 4 - 0 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 2.8 - 3.1