Minnesota Wild at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2022-01-21 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 5 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

CHI: 42.0%

MIN: 58.0%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.97

MIN: 3.35

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

CHI

M. Fleury

MIN

K. Kahkonen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	M. Fleury	30	25	5	83.3%	2.69	1	-2.31
MIN	K. Kahkonen	36	35	1	97.2%	1.79	0	0.79

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 79% • CHI at home vs MIN: 1-9

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	MIN 1 - 2 CHI	CHI	MIN
2026-03-17	CHI 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN
2026-01-27	MIN 4 - 3 CHI	MIN	MIN
2025-11-26	CHI 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-01-26	CHI 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	CHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	15	0	0.60
1	MIN	14	1	0.81
2	CHI	20	0	0.69
2	MIN	10	0	0.64
3	CHI	10	0	0.49
3	MIN	15	0	1.24

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 5 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.0 - 3.4