Los Angeles Kings at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2022-01-24 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 3 - 2 Los Angeles Kings (SO)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 51.2%
LAK: 48.8%
Expected Goals
NYR: 2.99
LAK: 3.17
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 67%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA
LAK
J. Quick
| Stat | NYR | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.51 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | Igor Shesterkin | 42 | 38 | 4 | 90.5% | 4.35 | 2 | 0.35 |
| LAK | J. Quick | 35 | 30 | 5 | 85.7% | 6.48 | 5 | 1.48 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • NYR at home vs LAK: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-16 | NYR 1 - 4 LAK | LAK | LAK |
| 2026-01-20 | LAK 4 - 3 NYR | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-03-25 | LAK 3 - 1 NYR | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-12-14 | NYR 1 - 5 LAK | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-01-20 | LAK 2 - 1 NYR | LAK | LAK |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYR | 7 | 1 | 0.40 |
| 1 | LAK | 12 | 0 | 0.67 |
| 2 | NYR | 17 | 0 | 1.63 |
| 2 | LAK | 16 | 0 | 0.78 |
| 3 | NYR | 18 | 1 | 1.14 |
| 3 | LAK | 18 | 0 | 0.91 |
| 4 | NYR | 6 | 0 | 0.62 |
| 4 | LAK | 2 | 0 | 0.13 |
| 5 | NYR | 6 | 3 | 2.69 |
| 5 | LAK | 6 | 2 | 1.86 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 51.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 3 - 2 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 3.0 - 3.2
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