Vegas Golden Knights at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2022-01-25 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 49.5%

VGK: 50.5%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.19

VGK: 3.50

Total Goals

Median: 7.0

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 56%

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

VGK

L. Brossoit

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Frederik Andersen	29	26	3	89.7%	2.77	2	-0.23
VGK	L. Brossoit	30	26	4	86.7%	3.96	3	-0.04

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CAR at home vs VGK: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-06-14	VGK 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-06-11	CAR 4 - 2 VGK	CAR	CAR
2026-06-09	VGK 3 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-06-06	VGK 5 - 4 CAR	VGK	CAR
2026-06-04	CAR 4 - 3 VGK	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	17	2	1.44
1	VGK	9	0	0.36
2	CAR	11	1	0.93
2	VGK	12	0	0.54
3	CAR	15	0	1.22
3	VGK	15	1	1.51
4	CAR	2	0	0.38
4	VGK	2	1	0.36

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.2 - 3.5