Chicago Blackhawks at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2022-01-26 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 5 - 8 Chicago Blackhawks

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

DET: 54.1%

CHI: 45.9%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.48

CHI: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 49%

DET

A. Nedeljkovic

CHI

M. Fleury

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	A. Nedeljkovic	38	30	8	78.9%	3.91	4	-4.09
CHI	M. Fleury	33	28	5	84.8%	2.66	3	-2.34

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • DET at home vs CHI: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-13	CHI 0 - 4 DET	DET	DET
2025-11-09	DET 1 - 5 CHI	CHI	DET
2025-01-10	DET 5 - 3 CHI	DET	DET
2024-11-06	CHI 1 - 4 DET	DET	CHI
2024-02-25	CHI 2 - 3 DET	DET	CHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	11	0	0.39
1	CHI	19	2	1.47
2	DET	18	2	1.28
2	CHI	13	1	0.71
3	DET	17	1	0.99
3	CHI	11	1	1.73

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 13.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 5 - 8 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.5 - 3.0