Vegas Golden Knights at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2022-01-27 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 4 - 1 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

FLA: 51.6%

VGK: 48.4%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.15

VGK: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 73%

Over 6.5: 59%

FLA

Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

VGK

R. Lehner

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Spencer Knight	25	24	1	96.0%	2.12	0	1.12
VGK	R. Lehner	32	28	4	87.5%	4.51	3	0.51

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • FLA at home vs VGK: 6-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-10	VGK 2 - 3 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-10-25	FLA 3 - 0 VGK	FLA	FLA
2025-01-26	VGK 4 - 1 FLA	VGK	VGK
2024-10-19	FLA 4 - 3 VGK	FLA	FLA
2024-01-04	VGK 1 - 4 FLA	FLA	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	16	0	1.37
1	VGK	15	0	0.83
2	FLA	9	0	0.59
2	VGK	12	0	0.63
3	FLA	15	3	2.55
3	VGK	10	0	0.66

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 4 - 1 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1