New York Rangers at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2022-01-27 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 5 - 3 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 46.8%

NYR: 53.2%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 2.95

NYR: 3.33

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 49%

CBJ

J. Korpisalo

NYR

A. Georgiev

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	J. Korpisalo	36	33	3	91.7%	3.28	1	0.28
NYR	A. Georgiev	19	14	5	73.7%	1.82	1	-3.18

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CBJ at home vs NYR: 4-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	CBJ 6 - 3 NYR	CBJ	CBJ
2026-03-02	NYR 4 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-15	CBJ 1 - 2 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-03-15	CBJ 0 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-03-09	NYR 3 - 7 CBJ	CBJ	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	7	0	0.32
1	NYR	8	0	0.58
2	CBJ	15	0	0.77
2	NYR	13	0	0.90
3	CBJ	6	1	0.73
3	NYR	26	1	1.80

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 5 - 3 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3