Calgary Flames at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2022-01-27 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 5 - 1 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

STL: 58.0%

CGY: 42.0%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.35

CGY: 3.35

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 51%

STL

V. Husso

CGY

J. Markstrom

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	V. Husso	29	28	1	96.6%	3.11	0	2.11
CGY	J. Markstrom	28	23	5	82.1%	2.27	1	-2.73

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • STL at home vs CGY: 6-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-18	CGY 2 - 1 STL	CGY	STL
2025-11-11	STL 3 - 2 CGY	STL	STL
2025-10-11	CGY 2 - 4 STL	STL	STL
2025-01-16	STL 4 - 1 CGY	STL	CGY
2025-01-14	STL 2 - 1 CGY	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	13	0	0.55
1	CGY	12	0	0.70
2	STL	14	1	0.99
2	CGY	24	0	1.46
3	STL	10	0	0.73
3	CGY	15	0	0.95

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 5 - 1 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.4 - 3.3