Vancouver Canucks at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2022-01-27 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 1 - 5 Vancouver Canucks

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 55.5%

VAN: 44.5%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.28

VAN: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

VAN

S. Martin

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	33	28	5	84.8%	3.20	0	-1.80
VAN	S. Martin	34	33	1	97.1%	3.61	3	2.61

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • WPG at home vs VAN: 6-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	WPG 3 - 2 VAN	WPG	WPG
2026-02-25	VAN 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	WPG
2025-11-11	VAN 3 - 5 WPG	WPG	VAN
2025-03-30	WPG 3 - 1 VAN	WPG	WPG
2025-03-18	VAN 6 - 2 WPG	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	14	1	0.88
1	VAN	20	0	1.47
2	WPG	21	1	1.84
2	VAN	18	0	1.33
3	WPG	16	1	0.89
3	VAN	8	0	0.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 1 - 5 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1