Minnesota Wild at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2022-01-28 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 2 - 3 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

NYR: 39.9%

MIN: 60.1%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.55

MIN: 4.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 51%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

MIN

C. Talbot

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	34	31	3	91.2%	3.36	1	0.36
MIN	C. Talbot	27	25	2	92.6%	2.19	0	0.19

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • NYR at home vs MIN: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	MIN 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	MIN
2025-10-20	NYR 1 - 3 MIN	MIN	NYR
2025-04-02	NYR 5 - 4 MIN	NYR	NYR
2025-03-13	MIN 2 - 3 NYR	NYR	MIN
2023-11-09	NYR 4 - 1 MIN	NYR	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	14	0	0.77
1	MIN	8	0	0.25
2	NYR	8	0	0.43
2	MIN	24	1	2.15
3	NYR	12	0	0.98
3	MIN	15	0	0.97

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 2 - 3 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 2.6 - 4.1