Boston Bruins at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2022-01-28 • Gila River Arena

Arizona Coyotes 1 - 2 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

ARI: 47.0%

BOS: 53.0%

Expected Goals

ARI: 2.78

BOS: 3.49

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 49%

ARI

S. Wedgewood

BOS

L. Ullmark

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	S. Wedgewood	37	35	2	94.6%	2.36	0	0.36
BOS	L. Ullmark	31	30	1	96.8%	2.60	2	1.60

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • ARI at home vs BOS: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-01-09	ARI 4 - 3 BOS	ARI	ARI
2023-12-09	BOS 5 - 3 ARI	BOS	BOS
2022-12-09	ARI 4 - 3 BOS	ARI	BOS
2022-10-15	BOS 6 - 3 ARI	BOS	BOS
2022-03-12	BOS 3 - 2 ARI	BOS	BOS

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	10	0	0.23
1	BOS	11	0	0.59
2	ARI	22	1	0.88
2	BOS	16	0	0.76
3	ARI	15	1	1.49
3	BOS	18	0	1.01

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 1 - 2 Boston Bruins

Expected: 2.8 - 3.5