Anaheim Ducks at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2022-01-29 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 1 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

OTT: 49.0%

ANA: 51.0%

Expected Goals

OTT: 2.77

ANA: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 49%

OTT

Anton Forsberg - 11-12-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
OTT	Anton Forsberg	20	18	2	90.0%	1.81	1	-0.19
ANA	John Gibson	45	44	1	97.8%	4.10	2	3.10

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • OTT at home vs ANA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	OTT 2 - 0 ANA	OTT	OTT
2025-11-20	ANA 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-12-11	OTT 5 - 1 ANA	OTT	OTT
2024-12-01	ANA 4 - 3 OTT	ANA	OTT
2024-03-06	ANA 2 - 1 OTT	ANA	ANA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	15	0	1.02
1	ANA	17	0	1.10
2	OTT	23	1	1.88
2	ANA	9	1	0.53
3	OTT	21	1	1.19
3	ANA	5	0	0.18

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 1 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 2.8 - 3.0