Seattle Kraken at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2022-02-02 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 0 - 3 Seattle Kraken

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 58.1%

SEA: 41.9%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.16

SEA: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

NYI

Semyon Varlamov - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	Semyon Varlamov	31	28	3	90.3%	2.90	1	-0.10
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	19	19	0	100.0%	1.80	0	1.80

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • NYI at home vs SEA: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-21	SEA 4 - 1 NYI	SEA	NYI
2025-11-23	NYI 1 - 0 SEA	NYI	NYI
2024-12-05	NYI 2 - 5 SEA	SEA	NYI
2024-11-16	SEA 3 - 2 NYI	SEA	NYI
2024-02-13	NYI 1 - 2 SEA	SEA	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	11	0	0.74
1	SEA	13	0	0.44
2	NYI	10	0	0.52
2	SEA	14	0	0.76
3	NYI	12	0	0.55
3	SEA	14	1	1.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 0 - 3 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9