Los Angeles Kings at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2022-01-29 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 3 Los Angeles Kings (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (64% underdog)

Win Probability

PHI: 35.7%

LAK: 64.3%

Expected Goals

PHI: 2.48

LAK: 4.02

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 51%

PHI

C. Hart

LAK

J. Quick

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PHI	C. Hart	40	37	3	92.5%	3.55	1	0.55
LAK	J. Quick	36	32	4	88.9%	4.19	3	0.19

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • PHI at home vs LAK: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	LAK 3 - 4 PHI	PHI	LAK
2026-01-31	PHI 2 - 3 LAK	LAK	PHI
2024-12-29	LAK 5 - 4 PHI	LAK	LAK
2024-12-19	PHI 3 - 7 LAK	LAK	LAK
2023-11-11	LAK 2 - 4 PHI	PHI	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	10	1	0.84
1	LAK	15	0	1.23
2	PHI	16	1	1.31
2	LAK	16	0	1.17
3	PHI	14	0	0.93
3	LAK	21	1	1.14
4	PHI	3	1	1.11
4	LAK	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 64.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 2.5 - 4.0