New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2022-01-29 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 1 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

CAR: 58.2%

NJD: 41.8%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.08

NJD: 2.40

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 51%

CAR

A. Raanta

NJD

J. Gillies

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	A. Raanta	25	24	1	96.0%	3.58	7	2.58
NJD	J. Gillies	23	21	2	91.3%	4.18	5	2.18

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 72% • CAR at home vs NJD: 15-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	CAR 5 - 2 NJD	CAR	CAR
2026-01-17	NJD 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-01-04	NJD 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-10-09	CAR 6 - 3 NJD	CAR	CAR
2025-04-29	CAR 5 - 4 NJD	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	13	2	1.18
1	NJD	18	5	1.93
2	CAR	10	2	0.88
2	NJD	16	2	1.20
3	CAR	16	1	2.13
3	NJD	5	0	0.45

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 1 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.1 - 2.4