Vancouver Canucks at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2022-01-29 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 1 - 0 Vancouver Canucks (OT)

Win Probability

CGY: 56.9%

VAN: 43.1%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.24

VAN: 2.96

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 55%

CGY

J. Markstrom

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CGY	J. Markstrom	15	15	0	100.0%	1.29	0	1.29
VAN	Thatcher Demko	32	31	1	96.9%	3.10	1	2.10

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 74% • CGY at home vs VAN: 6-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	CGY 7 - 3 VAN	CGY	CGY
2025-11-23	VAN 2 - 5 CGY	CGY	CGY
2025-10-09	VAN 5 - 1 CGY	VAN	VAN
2025-03-12	CGY 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	CGY
2024-12-31	CGY 3 - 1 VAN	CGY	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	16	0	0.87
1	VAN	3	0	0.16
2	CGY	20	1	1.28
2	VAN	13	0	0.66
3	CGY	17	0	0.76
3	VAN	8	0	0.47
4	CGY	1	0	0.19
4	VAN	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 1 - 0 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0