San Jose Sharks at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2022-01-30 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 1 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

CAR: 54.4%

SJS: 45.6%

Expected Goals

CAR: 2.76

SJS: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 51%

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

SJS

J. Reimer

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Frederik Andersen	28	27	1	96.4%	2.69	1	1.69
SJS	J. Reimer	29	27	2	93.1%	2.99	0	0.99

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • CAR at home vs SJS: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-07	CAR 1 - 4 SJS	SJS	CAR
2025-10-14	SJS 1 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-03-20	SJS 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-12-10	CAR 3 - 2 SJS	CAR	CAR
2023-10-27	CAR 3 - 0 SJS	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	11	0	0.69
1	SJS	12	0	1.06
2	CAR	17	0	1.31
2	SJS	7	0	0.35
3	CAR	19	0	0.99
3	SJS	17	1	1.27

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 1 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 2.8 - 3.0