Anaheim Ducks at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2022-01-31 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 1 Anaheim Ducks (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

DET: 46.5%

ANA: 53.5%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.20

ANA: 3.33

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

DET

A. Nedeljkovic

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	A. Nedeljkovic	15	14	1	93.3%	1.83	1	0.83
ANA	John Gibson	28	26	2	92.9%	3.16	1	1.16

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • DET at home vs ANA: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-13	DET 6 - 3 ANA	DET	DET
2025-10-31	ANA 5 - 2 DET	ANA	ANA
2025-02-23	DET 5 - 4 ANA	DET	DET
2024-11-15	ANA 6 - 4 DET	ANA	ANA
2024-01-07	ANA 2 - 3 DET	DET	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	15	0	1.17
1	ANA	9	1	0.58
2	DET	11	0	0.70
2	ANA	10	0	0.85
3	DET	9	0	0.77
3	ANA	7	0	0.28
4	DET	4	1	0.52
4	ANA	1	0	0.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 1 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.2 - 3.3